Debate the Issues: New Approaches to Economic Challenges by OECD

Debate the Issues: New Approaches to Economic Challenges by OECD

Author:OECD
Language: eng
Format: epub
Tags: Economics
ISBN: 9789264264687
Publisher: /OECD Publishing
Published: 2016-09-20T16:00:00+00:00


Useful links

Original article: Queisser, M. (16 May 2016), “Gender Equality and the Sustainable Development Goals”, OECD Insights blog, http://wp.me/p2v6oD-2tf.

OECD work on gender equality: www.oecd.org/gender

Finance, growth and inequality

by

Boris Cournède Senior Economist, Public Economics Division, OECD Economics Department

Oliver Denk Economist, OECD Economics Department

Finance is the lifeblood of modern economies, but too much of the wrong type of finance can hamper economic prosperity and social cohesion. We have taken a holistic approach to study the consequences of finance for the inclusiveness of growth, in the spirit of the OECD New Approaches to Economic Challenges initiative.

The UN’s Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) are looking at finance in a similar way. They specify the target of better financial regulation under Goal 10, “Reduced Inequalities” and thereby directly recognise the importance of finance for inequality. Our research thus provides an empirical foundation for the SDGs’ target to improve the regulation of financial markets and institutions to attain greater economic prosperity and income equality.

Credit intermediation and stock markets have seen a spectacular expansion over the past half-century. Since the 1960s, credit by financial institutions to households and businesses has grown three times as fast as economic activity. Stock markets too have expanded enormously. These secular changes to the financial landscape have taken place amidst a global economy in which growth has declined and inequalities have widened. They have therefore raised deep questions about the role of finance: What are the effects of changes in the size and structure of finance on economic growth? How do financial developments influence income inequality? Which policies can improve the contribution of finance to people’s well-being?

The development of credit markets boosts economic growth when it starts from a low base, and many developing countries have a lot to gain from further financial expansion. Nevertheless, looking at the data over the last 50 years, our empirical analysis shows that credit expansion has reduced economic prosperity on average across OECD countries. An increase in credit by financial institutions by 10% of GDP has been associated with a 0.3 percentage point reduction in long-term growth. At the levels now reached in most OECD countries, further credit accumulation is therefore likely to lower long-term growth. On the other hand, further expansions in equity finance are found to promote economic growth.

We identify three main channels linking the long-term expansion of credit with lower growth:

Excessive financial deregulation. OECD countries relaxed financial regulation in the 40 years preceding the global financial crisis, and this initially benefited economic activity. Relaxation of regulation however went too far and resulted in too much credit.



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